Scenario and Sensitivity Analysis for Financial Forecasting
In volatile African economies where currencies, fuel prices and demand swing sharply, a single point forecast is almost always wrong. This course teaches finance teams to build forecasts that flex, testing how outcomes change under different assumptions and shocks. Participants learn to run scenario and sensitivity analysis, identify the drivers that matter most and give leaders a realistic range rather than false precision.
What you will be able to do
Explain why single point forecasts fail in uncertain conditions.
Identify the key drivers and assumptions behind a forecast.
Build best case, base case and worst case scenarios.
Run sensitivity analysis to see which variables matter most.
Stress test forecasts against realistic economic shocks.
Present a forecast range and its implications to decision makers.
Course outline
01The Limits of Single Point Forecasts
02Identifying Drivers and Assumptions
03Building Multiple Scenarios
04Sensitivity Analysis Techniques
05Stress Testing Against Shocks
06Interpreting the Results
07Communicating Uncertainty to Leaders
08Turning Analysis Into Contingency Plans
Who should attend
Financial analysts, management accountants, planning staff and finance business partners who build budgets, forecasts and business cases.
Dates, venues and fees
Dates
Venue
Days
Fee
Calendar
17 to 19 Aug 2026
Cape Town
3
R13,000
31 Aug to 2 Sep 2026
Online
3
US$900
7 to 9 Sep 2026
Mozambique
3
US$1,500
14 to 16 Sep 2026
Cairo
3
US$1,500
21 to 23 Sep 2026
Accra
3
US$1,500
28 to 30 Sep 2026
Lusaka
3
US$1,500
5 to 7 Oct 2026
Kigali
3
US$1,500
12 to 14 Oct 2026
Nairobi
3
US$1,500
19 to 21 Oct 2026
Durban
3
R13,000
26 to 28 Oct 2026
Johannesburg
3
R13,000
9 to 11 Nov 2026
Mauritius
3
US$1,500
16 to 18 Nov 2026
Dubai
3
US$1,500
23 to 25 Nov 2026
Lagos
3
US$1,500
30 Nov to 2 Dec 2026
Harare
3
US$1,500
7 to 9 Dec 2026
Kampala
3
US$1,500
14 to 16 Dec 2026
Dar es Salaam
3
US$1,500
21 to 23 Dec 2026
Pretoria
3
R13,000
Fees are per delegate. South African venues are priced in rand; other locations and online in US dollars. Fees exclude 15% VAT where applicable. Group bookings of three or more delegates from the same organisation qualify for a reduced rate; contact us for a quotation.